Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.042216 0.045855 0.049521 0.053485 0.057644 0.061873 0.066491
2025-09-28 0.037503 0.042975 0.048668 0.055007 0.061846 0.068977 0.076953
2025-10-05 0.032357 0.039021 0.046163 0.054331 0.063359 0.072979 0.083956
2025-10-12 0.028908 0.036520 0.044899 0.054705 0.065767 0.077769 0.091683
2025-10-19 0.026339 0.034728 0.044187 0.055484 0.068455 0.082740 0.099524
2025-10-26 0.024151 0.033157 0.043544 0.056181 0.070919 0.087367 0.106913
2025-11-02 0.020916 0.030080 0.040921 0.054381 0.070348 0.088417 0.110147
2025-11-09 0.018773 0.028164 0.039531 0.053897 0.071189 0.090989 0.115039
2025-11-16 0.016992 0.026564 0.038407 0.053627 0.072193 0.093682 0.120017
2025-11-23 0.016240 0.026229 0.038800 0.055163 0.075327 0.098850 0.127869
2025-11-30 0.015420 0.025737 0.038943 0.056349 0.078009 0.103471 0.135078
2025-12-07 0.014482 0.025015 0.038737 0.057055 0.080073 0.107338 0.141390
2025-12-14 0.013375 0.024017 0.038155 0.057293 0.081597 0.110619 0.147102
2025-12-21 0.012781 0.023706 0.038456 0.058650 0.084512 0.115591 0.154863
2025-12-28 0.011445 0.022228 0.037122 0.057830 0.084658 0.117177 0.158549
2026-01-04 0.010622 0.021451 0.036695 0.058162 0.086231 0.120489 0.164312
2026-01-11 0.010014 0.020958 0.036628 0.058943 0.088359 0.124476 0.170892
2026-01-18 0.009431 0.020461 0.036523 0.059652 0.090381 0.128327 0.177311
2026-01-25 0.008133 0.018717 0.034560 0.057775 0.088998 0.127898 0.178458
2026-02-01 0.007332 0.017724 0.033632 0.057269 0.089367 0.129634 0.182246
2026-02-08 0.006656 0.016887 0.032891 0.056986 0.090003 0.131687 0.186417
2026-02-15 0.006497 0.016945 0.033489 0.058582 0.093137 0.136915 0.194546
2026-02-22 0.006259 0.016843 0.033834 0.059813 0.095785 0.141532 0.201928